NEURODEGENERATION, Vol. 4, pp 357–368 (1995)
Diagnosis and Incidence of Prion (Creutzfeldt-Jakob)
Disease: A Retrospective Archival Survey with
Implications for Future Research
C.J. Bruton,1 R.K. Bruton,2 S.M. Gentleman3 and G.W. Roberts4
1
Corsellis Collection Brain Bank, Dept. of Neuropathy, Runwell Hospital, Wickford, Essex;
2
Department of Pharmacology, Birmingham University, Birmingham; 3Departments of
Psychiatry and Anatomy, Charing Cross and Westminster Medical School, London;
4
Department of Molecular Neuropathology, SmithKline Beecham, Harlow, Essex
Reliable identification of Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) in the UX has become essential following the suggestion that prion disease in cattle (BSE) might transmit, accidentally, to humans who
eat contaminated beef. Recent data suggest that some cases of CJD may be clinically unrecognized; in order to examine this proposal we reviewed all cases of dementia (n 5 10001)
collected in the Runwell Hospital Brain Archive between 1964 and 1990. We identified 19 cases of
spongiform encephalopathy of which only 11 were diagnosed before death. These 11 individuals
had a characteristic clinical history of CJD (relentless mental deterioration, prominent motor
signs and death within a year). Their brains showed little or no external abnormality. In contrast,
only two of the eight clinically unrecognized cases had characteristic symptoms. The remaining
six presented atypically; their illness lasted 3 years or more, motor signs were much less evident,
and simple dementia was the most prominent feature. The brains showed moderate or severe
cerebral atrophy. Our data indicate that only about 60% of prion disease cases with pathologically
typical spongiform encephalopathy were identified clinically during life. This suggests that
human prion disease may be more common than previously supposed and that a further review
of the epidemiology of the disease is required
© 1995 Academic Press Limited
Key words: human spongiform encephalopathy, Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease,
diagnosis, neuropathology, prion protein
THE TERM PRION DISEASE includes the human disorders
Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD), GerstmannSträussler-Scheinker disease (GSS), Kuru, fatal familial insomnia and familial atypical dementia along
with similar disorders in sheep (scrapie), cattle (BSE),
goats, cats and other species (Prusiner et al., 1992).
These conditions are subacute, progressive, transmissible and uniformly fatal degenerative diseases of the
central nervous system. They have also been known
as ‘subacute spongiform encephalopathies’, ‘slow
virus infections’, ‘transmissible dementias’ and
‘transmissible amyloidoses’, all names which signify
successive attempts to identify their cardinal features
(Nevin et al., 1960; Corsellis, 1976; Prusiner, 1987;
Gajdusek, 1991). The central link between all prion diseases is thought to be the presence of an abnormalprotease resistant-isoform (PrPsc) of the normal prion
protein (PrPc) expressed by most neurons in the central nervous system (Prusiner et al., 1992).
Human prion disease is rare; Kuru is nowadays
almost extinct while the worldwide incidence of CJD
is thought to be approximately one case per million
people, per annum (Masters & Richardson, 1978;
Brown et al., 1987; Harries-Jones et al., 1988; Will, 1993).
GSS, regarded by many as a familial variant of CJD,
affects very few families throughout the world. The
importance of the human encephalopathies, however,
far exceeds their rarity, not only because they have
been transmitted experimentally to various animal
species (Gibbs et al., 1968; Beck et al., 1969; Gibbs et al.,
1980), but also because accidental person to person
Correspondence to: Dr. Clive, J. Bruton, Curator, Corsellis Collection
Brain Bank, Department of Neuropathology, Runwell Hospital,
Wickford, Essex SS11 7QE
Received 5 May 1995; accepted for publication 21 July 1995
© 1995 Academic Press Limited
1055-8330/95/040357 1 12 $12.00/0
357
358
transmission has occurred (Brown, 1988; Cochius
et al., 1990; Buchanan et al., 1991; Brown et al., 1992).
This raises the further theoretical possibility that one
of the naturally occurring animal spongiform
encephalopathies could also be transmitted, accidentally, to man.
Considerable scientific and public interest has been
focused on this last possibility during the recent outbreak of spongiform encephalopathy in cattle (Wells
et al., 1987) engendering the fear that BSE might be
transmitted to man from ‘infected’ meat (Southwood
Committee, 1989). The outbreak of BSE is vast and not
yet under control (Harrison & Roberts, 1992); BSE has
been transmitted orally to mice (Barlow & Middleton,
1990) and the potential risk to human public health
has been the subject of intense debate. Prudently, the
British Government has decided to monitor new cases
of human spongiform encephalopathy, particularly
CJD, as they arise in the community (Southwood
Committee, 1989; Will, 1993). This means, in effect, that
new cases of CJD must be recognized during life and
verified postmortem with a considerable degree of
accuracy. The diagnostic criteria for CJD are widely
recognized. Clinical diagnosis is provisional (Bell &
Ironside, 1993) and neuropathological diagnosis has,
until recently, been based on a combination of neuronal loss, glial proliferation and a typical spongiform
degeneration in the brain (Prusiner et al., 1992; Bell &
Ironside, 1993). Recent work has identified a further,
perhaps, definitive molecular marker, the presence of
an abnormal isoform of the prion protein (Roberts
et al., 1986, 1988). This marker is consistently yet not
universally associated with spongiform degeneration
(Bell & Ironside, 1993) and is the reason why so many
apparently disparate clinical syndromes have now
been included in the definition of ‘prion disease’ and
why the clinico-pathological spectrum of prion disease is now considered to be broader than previously
supposed (Harrison & Roberts, 1991; Prusiner et al.,
1992). A recent study undertaken to examine the problem examined 46 cases of ‘non-spongiform’ dementia
and reported no evidence of occult prion disease
(Brown et al., 1993). The authors concluded that “prion
disease and spongiform encephalopathy are one and
the same”. Nevertheless, their work has been criticized
for its small sample size and inappropriate choice of
clinical material (Collinge et al., 1993).
Our investigation has been designed to examine
two propositions. The first is that prion (CJD) disease
may be more common than the current epidemiology
suggests (Anon, 1990; Harrison & Roberts, 1991). The
second is that patients with prion (CJD) disease who
C.J. Bruton et al.
have an older age of onset, few motor signs and prominent symptoms of dementia, are more likely to be
clinically misdiagnosed (Harrison & Roberts, 1991).
We report the results of a large retrospective survey
from a neuropathological perspective. We have reexamined the clinical notes and the brains of all the
histologically confirmed cases of prion disease in a
large neuropathological archive (The Corsellis
Collection) and determined whether prion disease
was suspected during life. Our results are recorded
below.
Materials and Methods
Runwell Hospital is a large institution for the mentally ill;
its neuropathological archive (The Corsellis Collection) contains brain specimens collected not only from the hospital
itself, but also from a wide variety of psychiatric and general hospitals in south-eastern England (the combined population for Greater London, South-East England and East
Anglia in 1989 was 19.4 million). During the 25 year survey
period, a total of 6559 brains were examined in the department. More than 1000 of these were from patients who had
been considered, during life, to suffer from dementia.
Nineteen individuals (13 females, 6 males; average
age at death 62 years) form the basis of this study. They
represent all cases of spongiform encephalopathy diagnosed, histologically, in the department of neuropathology
at Runwell Hospital during the 25 years beginning
1 January 1964. Their clinical details, abstracted from
original hospital notes, their post-mortem records and their
referral specialities are summarized in Tables 1 and 2.
Neuropathology
As part of routine departmental procedure, all brains were
fixed in 10% formalin for one month and examined nakedeye. Many were photographed before and after fixation.
Blocks of tissue were taken routinely from the frontal, parietal, occipital and temporal lobes and embedded in paraffin
wax. Cut sections from each tissue block were stained with
Nissl’s method using Cresyl Violet, Haematoxylin and
Eosin, Van Gieson, Congo Red, PAS, Heidenhain Woëlcke’s
method for myelin and Holzer’s method for fibrous glia.
Frozen cryostat sections were stained with von Braunmühl’s
method for plaques and tangles.
Immunocytochemistry
Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded sections from the cerebellum of 12 cases in the present series ( Case Nos. 3, 4, 5, 6,
8, 10, 11, 13, 14, 15, 18 and 19) were examined and have been
reported as part of an immunocytochemical study by
Roberts et al., 1988 (Table 3). These authors used rabbit polyclonal affinity-purified antiserum raised against the hamster
scrapie PrP 27–30 kDa.
Paraffin-embedded sections from the remaining seven
Archival survey of prion disease
Table 1. Clinical features and macroscopical appearances of brains
Sex
Age at
death
(yrs)
Length of
illness
(yrs)
Brain
weight
(gm)
Gyral
atrophy
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
M
M
F
F
F
F
F
F
F
M
F
M
F
58
66
67
57
68
64
72
58
48
60
56
55
73
3/12
5/12
1
5/12
6/12
6/12
4/12
1
6/12
3/12
5/12
1
3/12
1040
1125
1140
1030
953
1367
1180
1338
1552
1335
1257
1353
1125
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
14
15
16
17
18
19
F
F
F
M*
M
F**
72
75
48
40
72
79
6
41
3
4
31
?
910
955
942
1140
900
850
111
111
11
1
11
11
11
111
11
1
11
11
Case
no.
ExtraDiagnosis
Ventricular Abnormal
Cerebellar Pyramidal pyramidal suspected
dilatation behaviour Dementia Myoclonus
ataxia
signs
signs
during life
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
NO
YES
YES
YES
NO
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
*Strong family history; **Schizophrenic. Leucotomy, 34 years before death; 0 5 normal; 1 5 slight; 11 5 moderate; 111 5 severe; Blank 5 absent; 1 5 present.
359
360
Table 2. Referral speciality, investigations and clinical diagnosis
Case
Year
no. of death
Referral
specialty
Length of
Cerebral
illness
atrophy
(yrs) (post-mortem)
Investigations
E.E.G.
1
1965
P
3/12
1
2
1966
GM
5/12
1
Abnormal: ‘Nevin Jones Syndrome’
3
4
5
1970
1971
1976
N
N
GM
1
5/12
6/12
1
0
1
Abnormal: ? CJD
Abnormal: ‘Diffuse non specific’
Abnormal: ‘Diffuse non specific’
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
1979
1979
1979
1980
1981
1981
1982
1983
GM
N
N
GM
N
N
N
N
6/12
4/12
1
6/12
3/12
5/12
1
3/12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
Abnormal: ? CJD
Abnormal: ? CJD
Abnormal: ? CJD
Abnormal: ? CJD
Abnormal: ? Not CJD
Abnormal: ? CJD
Abnormal: ? ‘Diffuse non specific’
14
1964
P
6
111
Abnormal: ‘Non specific’
15
16
1977
1978
P
P
41
3
111
11
Normal
17
1980
N
4
1
18
19
1983
1984
P
P
31
?
11
11
Other
AEG: ‘Atrophy’
Diagnosis before death
(clinical notes)
? Cerebral tumour.
? Presenile Dementia
Cerebral biopsy: ‘normal’
CT: ‘Mild atrophy’
CT: ‘Normal’
CT: ‘Normal’
CT: ‘Mild atrophy’
CT: ‘Atrophy’
AEG: ‘Atrophy’
CT: ‘Atrophy’
Normal
Nevin-Jones subacute vascular
encephalopathy
CJD
CJD
? viral encephalitis
? cerebral degeneration
CJD
CJD
CJD
CJD
CJD
CJD
CJD
CJD
Depressed. Hypochondrical. ?
‘Cerebral arteriosclerosis
Senile Dementia
Alzheimer’s Disease
Familial Dementia.
? Huntington’s Chorea
Senile Dementia
Schizophrenia
1 5 slight; 11 5 moderate; 111 5 severe; GM 5 General Medicine; N 5 Neurology; P 5 Psychiatry; Blank 5 none.
C.J. Bruton et al.
Roberts et al. (1988)
Remaining cases PrPsc staining
Spongiform degeneration in cortex
Case No.
Roberts case
Frontal Temporal Occipital Cerebellar
No.
PrPsc plaques
Cerebellum
1
11
11
1
0
2
111
11
111
1
3
4
5
6
7
0
1
1
11
111
1
1
11
11
11
11
0
11
11
11
11
0
1
11
1
7
3
8
6
8
9
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
10
11
12
13
11
11
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
111
1
1
11
1
0
1
5
2
Yes
Yes
11
Yes
14
15
16
17
1
11
11
1
11
1
11
1
11
0
1
1
11
1
0
11
9
12
Yes
Yes
18
19
111
11
1
111
1
1
1
0
10
13
Cerebellum
Frontal cortex
Equivocal staining of
diffuse deposits
Intensely stained
plaques molecular
layer
Widespread cellular
staining
Intense perivacuolar
staining
Sparse diffuse deposits
in molecular layer
Intense perivacuolar
staining
Punctate staining
around Purkinje
cells
Glial and neuronal staining
Sparse diffuse deposits
Sparse cellular staining
Other pathology
Archival survey of prion disease
Table 3. Histology and immunohistochemistry
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Senile plaques1
None
Rare plaque cores in
granule cell layer
Yes
Yes
Extensive cellular staining
Diffuse deposits and
cellular staining
Leucotomy (34
yrs before death)
0 5 None; 1 5 Slight; 11 5 Moderate; 111 5 Severe.
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C.J. Bruton et al.
cases (1, 2, 7, 9, 12, 16, 17) were processed for immunocytochemistry to determine the presence of the abnormal isoform of prion protein using the following protocol: 12 µm
sections of cerebral and cerebellar cortex were dewaxed and
pretreated with an 80% solution of formic acid for 8 minutes. Sections were then incubated overnight at 4°C with a
rabbit polyclonal antibody to the abnormal prion protein
(IA8, kindly provided by Dr J. Hope as part of the MRC workshop on PrP immunostaining) at a dilution of 1:1800.
Sections were further processed using an ABC Elite (Vector
Labs, UK) protocol before counterstaining with haematoxylin.
Results
Microscopical examination of the brain in all 19 cases
showed the characteristic appearances of spongiform
degeneration of the cerebral cortex associated with
neuronal loss, neuronal degeneration and a marked
astrocytic gliosis (Fig. 1a–d ) that occurs in almost all
cases of CJD (Masters & Richardson, 1978; Richardson
& Masters, 1995). In CJD, the distribution and sever-
ity of spongiform change is “not consistently present
throughout the central nervous system and varies considerably from case to case” (Bell & Ironside, 1993).
The severity and distribution of spongiform degeneration in our material was equally variable (Table 3).
None of our 19 cases showed the extensive white matter involvement or end-stage gliosis that has been
reported in some cases of long clinical duration
(Richardson & Masters, 1995).
Immunocytochemically, all 19 cases showed an
accumulation of the abnormal isoform of the human
prion protein (PrP). The 12 cases reported positive by
Roberts et al. (1988) are identified in Table 3. The
remaining seven cases (1, 2, 7, 9, 12, 16, 17) that were
pretreated with formic acid and immunostained with
the 1A8 antibody to prion protein revealed varying
degrees of immunoreactivity (Table 3). The variety of
structures stained in the different cases was similar to
that recently described by Hayward et al. (1994). This
ranged from plaque-like deposits in the molecular
layer of the cerebellum (Fig. 2a), to dense perivacuo-
Figure 1. Cerebral cortex from four cases showing the classical appearances of spongiform degeneration, neuronal loss and reactive gliosis. (a) Case No. 11 ‘Typical’ symptoms; survival 5 months. (b) Case No. 14 ‘Atypical’
symptoms; survival 6 years. (c) Case No. 15 ‘Atypical’ symptoms; survival 4 years. (d) Case No. 16 ‘Atypical’
symptoms; survival 3 years. Haematoxylin & Eosin 370, 3160, 3100 and 3160 respectively.
Archival survey of prion disease
Figure 2. (a) Plaque-like deposits of PrPSC in the molecular layer of the cerebellum in case no. 2; (b)
Perivacuolar deposits of the protein in the cerebral cortex of case no. 7. Sections counterstained with haematoxylin.
363
364
C.J. Bruton et al.
lar staining in areas of spongiform change in the cerebral cortex (Fig. 2b). In some of the cases there was
focal staining of neuronal perikarya while in others
occasional diffuse and/or cored plaque-like deposits
were seen in the cerebral cortex.
Thus far, our 19 cases resembled many others
described in the literature. However, careful consideration of their clinical features and the naked-eye
appearances of their brains suggested that they could
be sub-divided into two main groups in that the brains
of case numbers 1–13 showed little or no macroscopic
abnormality whereas the remaining six were either
moderately or severely atrophic (Figs 3, 4). An examination of the clinical histories of the 13 patients with
externally normal brains (Table 1) showed the textbook features of CJD with a relentlessly progressive
mental deterioration, prominent neurological motor
abnormalities and death usually within a year (Bell &
Ironside, 1993). The diagnosis of CJD was suspected
during life in 11 of these 13 patients. In contrast, the
histories of the other six patients (Case Nos. 14–19)
who had notable cerebral atrophy, were very different;
their illness lasted 3 years or more, motor signs were
much less evident and in no patient was a diagnosis
of spongiform encephalopathy suspected during life.
The clinical investigations, the presumptive clinical
diagnosis taken from the case records, the year of death
and the referral pattern of all 19 cases are summarized
in Table 2. Of the 13 patients whose brains showed little or no external abnormality, eight had been referred
from a department of neurology, four from general
physicians and only one had been admitted to a psychiatric hospital. Eleven of the 13 had an electroencephalogram, all 11 electroencephalograms were
abnormal and in seven cases the electroencephalographic abnormality suggested a diagnosis of CJD.
In contrast, of the six individuals who had cerebral
atrophy, five died in a psychiatric hospital, three had
been investigated by an electroencephalogram and
two of the three electroencephalograms were reported
as normal.
Discussion
Current estimates of the incidence of prion (CJD) disease derive from epidemiological studies where
patients have been identified primarily on the basis of
clinical criteria (Will, 1993; Bell & Ironside, 1993).
These studies are well known and suggest that prion
disease (CJD) has an incidence of some 0.5–1 per million of the population (typically 30–40 cases a year in
the UK) a rate which, until recently, had remained
stable for decades (Will, 1993). Our retrospective survey (n 5 10001 patients with dementia) indicates that
clinical diagnosis alone may considerably underestimate the number of cases of prion protein with
spongiform encephalopathy (CJD type).
Most cases of prion (CJD) disease are thought to present with a consistent and characteristic clinical history. However, atypical cases are known to occur
(Corsellis, 1976; Cruz-Sanchez et al., 1987; Kruger
et al., 1990, Richardson & Masters, 1995). Some atypical cases are of ‘long duration’ and it has been suggested that the length of illness may possibly affect the
degree of atrophy found in the brain (Corsellis, 1976).
Nevertheless, cases of long duration have been considered to account for only 5% of patients with CJD
(Brown et al., 1986). Brown and his colleagues found
that many long duration cases were characterized by
a very gradually progressive mental deterioration
that, only terminally, gave rise to more rapid mental
and physical decay. This description is in accord with
the clinical history found in the present series (Table
1) where simple dementia without abnormal motor
signs was the most common symptom. Such findings,
in the presence of a moderate or severe degree of
cerebral atrophy, would suggest a diagnosis of
Alzheimer’s disease. It is hardly surprising, therefore,
that the true diagnosis of CJD remained unsuspected
in all six long duration cases in the present series before
results of the neuropathological examination were
known.
Such atypical, ‘Alzheimer-like’ cases formed no less
than 30% of all CJD brains diagnosed histologically in
the Runwell Hospital Archive during the last 25 years.
The implications of the data are self-evident. They suggest that the strict application of current clinical diagnostic criteria alone for the provisional diagnosis of
CJD could lead inevitably to the omission of some
cases that are characterized by an older age of onset,
slower clinical course and prominent symptoms of
cognitive decline (Anon, 1990; Harrison & Roberts,
1991). The consequence of this will be to undermine
the validity of the currently accepted figures for the
incidence of prion (CJD) disease and the public health
measures that are dependent upon them (Anon, 1990).
Our conclusions depend, of course, on the validity
of the methods for diagnosing prion (CJD) disease and
the representative nature of the Runwell Archive. The
cases were diagnosed using well recognized histological criteria (Corsellis, 1976; Masters & Richardson,
1978; Bell & Ironside, 1993) in combination with
immunocytochemical methods to determine the pres-
Archival survey of prion disease
365
Figure 3. (a) Lateral view of left cerebral hemisphere, showing no external abnormality. Case no. 6 ‘Typical’ symptoms; survival 6 months. 30.7 (b) Lateral view of left cerebral hemisphere showing extreme cerebral atrophy. Case
no. 14 ‘Atypical’ symptoms; survival 6 years. 30.7.
366
C.J. Bruton et al.
Figure 4. (a) Coronal slice of brain at interventricular foramen level showing no external abnormality.
Case no. 4. ‘Typical’ symptoms; survival 5 months. 30.7 (b) Coronal slice of brain at interventricular
foramen showing severe cerebral atrophy. Case no. 16. ‘Atypical’ symptoms; survival 3 years. 30.7.
367
Archival survey of prion disease
ence of PrPsc (Roberts et al., 1986, 1988; Prusiner et al.,
1992; Bell & Ironside, 1993). Numerous studies have
confirmed that PrPsc is a sensitive and specific molecular marker of prion disease (Prusiner et al., 1992;
Nicholl et al., 1995). PrPsc immunocytochemistry is
nowadays, commonly used to track the extent of
pathological change in both animal and human brains
(Prusiner et al., 1992; Lantos et al., 1992; Bell & Ironside,
1993). In addition, the absence of identifiable PrPsc in
cerebral tissue has been used to identify the limits of
the spectrum of prion pathology (Clinton et al., 1993;
Gomi et al., 1994). In this way we believe that we have
established as rigorously as possible that the patients
in the present survey had indeed suffered from prion
disease (CJD).
The representative nature of the Runwell archive is,
however, more difficult to defend. Runwell is a large
mental institution and the 6559 brains examined
during the 25 year survey included more than 1000
who were clinically demented. From this sample, 19
patients with spongiform encephalopathy are considerably more than would be expected from an
‘unselected’ series of 1000 clinically demented patients
(Jellinger et al., 1990; Tomlinson, 1992) and the suggestion may be made that the archive ‘over-represents’
atypical cases of CJD that mimic Alzheimer’s disease.
It is equally possible, however, that atypical
‘Alzheimer-like’ cases have been excluded inadvertently from other published studies (Brown et al., 1987;
Harries-Jones et al., 1988) where individuals were collected from neurology clinics rather than from patients
in the long stay wards of a psychiatric hospital. In this
respect it is pertinent to consider that of the 13 patients
in our series who had typical symptoms of CJD, no
less than 12 had been referred from general medical
hospitals and only one from a psychiatric hospital. Of
the six patients with atypical, long duration,
‘Alzheimer-type’ symptoms five had died in a mental
hospital. Nevertheless, we do not contend that our
data conform to the most strict criteria of epidemiological vigour although the source of all brain material in the Corsellis Collection has been from unselected
hospital post-mortems or referrals from other hospitals without special bias towards the diagnosis of CJD.
Furthermore, a post-mortem study of over 1000
demented patients from a total of 6559 brains is a sizeable neuropathological sample by any standards and
the Corsellis Collection is not only the largest, but also
the most broadly based brain archive in the UK.
Following the occurrence of BSE in cattle, the iatrogenic transmission of human prion disease in children
treated with growth hormone, in women given
gonadotrophic hormone and in some neurosurgical
patients following the use of dural grafts (Brown et al.,
1992), Government health policy designed to prevent
the transmission of prion disease has become the subject of considerable debate. Government policy has
been framed by our understanding of the epidemiology of the disease in humans. We have shown here
that our understanding may be less robust than originally thought. One of the most worrying features of
the present series, however, is that long duration
‘Alzheimer-like’ cases formed no less than 30% of all
the prion (CJD) disease cases. These cases may slip
through the diagnostic net and could represent an
unidentified source of future iatrogenic infection.
Furthermore, if changing environmental factors (e.g.
BSE infected tissues) lead to an alteration in the clinical presentation of prion (CJD), the situation may
become more difficult to interpret especially in view
of the massive national decline in hospital postmortem examinations that are needed to confirm the
diagnosis (The Registrar General’s Statistical Review,
1972; 1982–1987).
In our opinion, these issues can be resolved decisively only by investigations where large cohorts of
clinically demented individuals are examined neuropathologically to determine the precise incidence of
prion disease. Until such studies are undertaken there
will remain considerable uncertainty concerning the
true incidence of prion disease in the population.
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by a grant from the Mental Health
Foundation. SMG is an Alzheimer Disease Society Fellow.
RKB was a Wellcome trust vacation student.
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